年份

Δ ln T

Δ ln U

Δ ln y Δ ln T

Δ ln y Δ ln U

观测值

Hansen test

P值

F-statistic

1989~2012

1.8679**

(3.00)

−1.7473***

(−3.96)

1.0297***

(3.42)

−0.7618***

(−3.58)

391

0.4069

131.72

1989~1996

1.7563*

(1.80)

−1.9900***

(−3.36)

1.0280*

(1.74)

−0.8639**

(−2.64)

119

0.4308

77.30

1997~2004

2.6866***

(3.66)

−0.7543

(−1.34)

1.1067***

(3.47)

−0.1910

(−0.80)

136

0.2395

161.62

2005~2015

2.5371***

(15.46)

0.2931

(1.50)

1.3067***

(23.65)

0.1174

(1.36)

136

0.8271

174.00