年份 | 实际留学生数(万人) | GM (1, 1)模型 | ||
拟合值(万人) | 残差 | 相对残差 | ||
2005 | 11.8515 | 11.8515 | 0 | 0 |
2006 | 13.4 | 17.65928 | −4.259277 | 0.3178565 |
2007 | 14.4 | 19.83468 | −5.43468 | 0.3774084 |
2008 | 17.98 | 22.27807 | −4.298066 | 0.239047 |
2009 | 22.93 | 25.02245 | −2.092446 | 0.09125365 |
2010 | 28.47 | 28.1049 | 0.3651002 | 0.01282403 |
2011 | 33.97 | 31.56707 | 2.402927 | 0.07073673 |
2012 | 39.96 | 35.45574 | 4.504256 | 0.1127191 |
2013 | 41.39 | 39.82345 | 1.56655 | 0.03784853 |
2014 | 45.98 | 44.7292 | 1.250798 | 0.02720308 |
2015 | 52.37 | 50.23928 | 2.130717 | 0.04068583 |
2016 | 54.45 | 56.42814 | −1.978137 | 0.03632942 |
2017 | 60.84 | 63.37938 | −2.53938 | 0.04173866 |
2018 | 66.21 | 71.18693 | −4.97693 | 0.07516886 |