年份 | 实际值 | BP | CSGM(1,1) | GM(1,1) | 组合预测模型 |
2008 | 321,500.5 | 307,020.8 | 273,138.6 | 400,044.6 | 287,265.4 |
2009 | 348,498.5 | 375,943.9 | 312,980.9 | 459,224.2 | 339,427.2 |
2010 | 411,265.2 | 480,925.3 | 358,635 | 527,158.4 | 410,249.7 |
2011 | 484,753.2 | 591,258.7 | 410,948.5 | 605,142.4 | 487,169.4 |
2012 | 539,116.5 | 648,890.1 | 470,893 | 694,662.6 | 546,070.8 |
2013 | 590,422.4 | 695,708.5 | 539,581.4 | 797,425.9 | 605,395.9 |
2014 | 644,791.1 | 713,382.3 | 618,289.3 | 915,391.2 | 658,085.5 |
2015 | 686,449.6 | 736,190.6 | 708,478.3 | 1,050,807 | 719,547.5 |
2016 | 741,140.4 | 732,242.4 | 811,823 | 1,206,256 | 777,189.4 |