预测时间(月) | 真实值 | 预测方法 | 预测值 | 绝对误差 | 相对误差 |
2022.8 | 1765.65 | ARIMA(2,1,0) | 1733.76 | 31.89 | 0.01806 |
SSA-ARIMA(3,1.0) | 1759.03 | 6.62 | 0.00375 | ||
BPNN | 1724.50 | 41.15 | 0.02330 | ||
SSA-BPNN | 1749.50 | 16.15 | 0.00910 | ||
SSA-ARIMA(3,1,0)-BPNN | 1757.52 | 8.13 | 0.00460 | ||
2022.9 | 1682.97 | ARIMA(2,1,0) | 1752.74 | 69.77 | 0.04146 |
SSA-ARIMA(3,1.0) | 1708.35 | 25.38 | 0.01508 | ||
BPNN | 1626.80 | 56.17 | 0.03340 | ||
SSA-BPNN | 1666.00 | 16.97 | 0.01010 | ||
SSA-ARIMA(3,1,0)-BPNN | 1701.66 | 18.69 | 0.01110 | ||
2022.10 | 1664.45 | ARIMA(2,1,0) | 1767.00 | 102.55 | 0.06161 |
SSA-ARIMA(3,1.0) | 1667.98 | 3.53 | 0.00212 | ||
BPNN | 1646.80 | 17.65 | 0.01060 | ||
SSA-BPNN | 1608.00 | 56.45 | 0.03390 | ||
SSA-ARIMA(3,1,0)-BPNN | 1658.50 | 5.95 | 0.00360 |