序列 | 实际值 | 指数曲线 | APE (%) | 修正指数曲线 | APE (%) | 时间一次项指数 曲线 | APE (%) |
1 | 2 | 1.5609 | 21.9558 | 2.9429 | 47.1437 | 2.2070 | 10.3498 |
2 | 4 | 2.5228 | 36.9311 | 4.0008 | 0.0201 | 4.1346 | 3.3654 |
3 | 6 | 4.0774 | 32.0439 | 5.6860 | 5.2335 | 6.4947 | 8.2450 |
4 | 9 | 6.5900 | 26.7781 | 8.3703 | 6.9963 | 9.5862 | 6.5132 |
5 | 14 | 10.6509 | 23.9218 | 12.6463 | 9.6696 | 13.9147 | 0.6092 |
6 | 20 | 17.2144 | 13.9279 | 19.4574 | 2.7129 | 20.3354 | 1.6770 |
7 | 30 | 27.8225 | 7.2582 | 30.3070 | 1.0233 | 30.2946 | 0.9818 |
8 | 46 | 44.9677 | 2.2441 | 47.5893 | 3.4551 | 46.2382 | 0.5179 |
9 | 72 | 72.6784 | 0.9422 | 75.1186 | 4.3314 | 72.3035 | 0.4215 |
10 | 115 | 117.4653 | 2.1437 | 118.9702 | 3.4524 | 115.4873 | 0.4237 |
11 | 187 | 189.8514 | 1.5248 | 188.8219 | 0.9743 | 187.6233 | 0.3333 |
12 | 309 | 306.8443 | 0.6976 | 300.0893 | 2.8837 | 308.7258 | 0.0887 |
13 | 516 | 495.9322 | 3.8891 | 477.3282 | 7.4945 | 512.6448 | 0.6502 |
14 | 865 | 801.5426 | 7.3361 | 759.6538 | 12.1788 | 856.6300 | 0.9676 |
15 | 1458 | 1295.4806 | 11.1467 | 1209.3729 | 17.0526 | 1437.5075 | 1.4055 |
RMSPEPR (%) |
| 18.9258 |
| 4.5739 |
| 3.3928 | |
RMSPEPO (%) |
| 8.0248 |
| 12.8489 |
| 1.0543 | |
RMSPE (%) |
| 17.1823 |
| 7.1983 |
| 3.0467 |