| 预报模式 | 预见期 | 无雨 <0.1mm | 小雨 0.1~5.9mm | 中雨 6.0~14.9mm | 大雨 15.0~29.9mm | 暴雨 ≥30.0mm | ||||||||||
| 正确率 | 空报率 | 漏报率 | 正确率 | 空报率 | 漏报率 | 正确率 | 空报率 | 漏报率 | 正确率 | 空报率 | 漏报率 | 正确率 | 空报率 | 漏报率 | ||
| 日本 | 1 d | 75.8 | 0.0 | 24.2 | 59.8 | 27.4 | 12.8 | 30.4 | 43.5 | 26.1 | 45.0 | 37.5 | 17.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 |
| 2 d | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 51.4 | 29.1 | 19.5 | 18.5 | 64.6 | 16.9 | 25.9 | 62.1 | 12.1 | 19.1 | 81.0 | 0.0 | |
| 3 d | 64.2 | 0.0 | 35.8 | 56.9 | 27.6 | 15.5 | 20.8 | 52.8 | 26.4 | 32.0 | 54.0 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 90.0 | 0.0 | |
| ECMWF | 1 d | 86.8 | 0.0 | 13.2 | 59.6 | 32.5 | 7.9 | 32.1 | 44.9 | 23.1 | 42.5 | 40.0 | 17.5 | 42.1 | 57.9 | 0.0 |
| 2 d | 80.7 | 0.0 | 19.4 | 58.8 | 32.2 | 9.0 | 25.0 | 53.8 | 21.3 | 41.3 | 45.7 | 13.0 | 41.7 | 58.3 | 0.0 | |
| 3 d | 74.2 | 0.0 | 25.8 | 56.9 | 33.3 | 9.7 | 29.5 | 48.7 | 21.8 | 43.5 | 47.8 | 8.7 | 42.9 | 57.1 | 0.0 | |
| WRF | 1 d | 73.7 | 0.0 | 26.3 | 60.6 | 26.8 | 12.6 | 26.9 | 46.3 | 26.9 | 31.6 | 57.9 | 10.5 | 42.9 | 57.1 | 0.0 |
| 2 d | 67.7 | 0.0 | 32.4 | 59.7 | 27.4 | 12.9 | 25.7 | 52.7 | 21.6 | 29.8 | 59.6 | 10.6 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 0.0 | |
| 3 d | 64.7 | 0.0 | 35.3 | 57.3 | 26.4 | 16.3 | 20.9 | 52.2 | 26.9 | 15.6 | 75.6 | 8.9 | 25.0 | 75.0 | 0.0 | |
| 人工综合 | 1 d | 77.4 | 0.0 | 22.6 | 65.6 | 19.5 | 14.9 | 33.8 | 50.0 | 16.2 | 42.6 | 44.7 | 12.8 | 52.6 | 47.4 | 0.0 |
| 2 d | 67.9 | 0.0 | 32.1 | 61.8 | 22.1 | 16.1 | 19.1 | 63.1 | 17.9 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 12.0 | 45.5 | 54.6 | 0.0 | |
| 3 d | 67.1 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 59.9 | 25.4 | 14.8 | 23.5 | 51.9 | 24.7 | 33.3 | 53.9 | 12.8 | 38.9 | 61.1 | 0.0 | |