预见期 | 偏大率(%) | 平均偏大误差(%) | 偏小率(%) | 平均偏小误差(%) | ||||||||||||
日本 | ECMWF | WRF | 人工 | 日本 | ECMWF | WRF | 人工 | 日本 | ECMWF | WRF | 人工 | 日本 | ECMWF | WRF | 人工 | |
1d | 26.5 | 38.8 | 36.4 | 29.8 | 53.0 | 68.3 | 84.0 | 52.9 | 72.7 | 59.5 | 62.8 | 69.4 | 46.2 | 38.4 | 46.2 | 47.2 |
2d | 16.8 | 38.4 | 40.8 | 33.6 | 91.7 | 74.7 | 88.1 | 58.2 | 83.2 | 61.6 | 59.2 | 66.4 | 62.5 | 42.7 | 57.5 | 51.1 |
3d | 33.3 | 41.7 | 36.7 | 29.2 | 87.9 | 62.5 | 116.7 | 54.4 | 66.7 | 58.3 | 62.5 | 70.8 | 55.9 | 48.4 | 59.9 | 58.1 |