| 变量 | 情景设置 | 2020~2030 | 2030~2040 | 2040~2050 | 2050~2060 |
| 人口 | 低 | 0.023% | 0.004% | −0.014% | −0.026% |
| 高 | 0.034% | 0.017% | 0.006% | −0.012% | |
| 人均GDP | 低 | 3.270% | 2.840% | 1.780% | 0.920% |
| 高 | 4.010% | 3.360% | 2.330% | 1.420% | |
| 第三产业占比 | 低 | 1.050% | 0.780% | 0.340% | 0.230% |
| 高 | 1.270% | 1.040% | 0.710% | 0.320% | |
| 单位周转能耗 | 低 | −1.240% | −0.710% | −0.480% | −0.270% |
| 高 | −1.770% | −1.320% | −0.910% | −0.510% | |
| 清洁能源占比 | 高 | 3.920% | 4.840% | 5.310% | 4.010% |
| 低 | 4.380% | 5.020% | 5.670% | 4.320% |