年份 | 用水量 | 传统GM(1,1) | 函数变换 | 残差修正 | 弱化算子 | ||||
预测值 | 相对误差/% | 预测值 | 相对误差/% | 预测值 | 相对误差/% | 预测值 | 相对误差/% | ||
2011 | 301.81 | 301.81 | 0.00% | 301.81 | 0.00% | 301.81 | 0.00% | 302.89 | 0.00% |
2012 | 303.02 | 311.65 | 2.85% | 299.89 | 1.03% | 301.63 | 0.46% | 308.40 | −0.04% |
2013 | 308.17 | 306.48 | 0.55% | 313.73 | 1.81% | 308.02 | 0.05% | 307.00 | 0.07% |
2014 | 307.60 | 301.40 | 2.01% | 305.11 | 0.81% | 307.35 | 0.08% | 298.96 | −0.20% |
2015 | 299.30 | 296.40 | 0.97% | 297.23 | 0.69% | 297.87 | 0.48% | 290.12 | −0.11% |
2016 | 290.60 | 291.49 | 0.31% | 292.32 | 0.59% | 292.45 | 0.64% | 284.49 | −0.17% |
2017 | 284.90 | 286.66 | 0.62% | 286.62 | 0.60% | 286.98 | 0.73% | 287.69 | −0.14% |
2018 | 287.80 | 285.90 | 0.66% | 285.39 | 0.83% | 286.37 | 0.50% | 283.50 | −0.04% |
2019 | 283.40 | 280.23 | 1.12% | 280.93 | 0.87% | 285.62 | 0.78% | 261.33 | 0.04% |
2020 | 261.10 | 262.63 | 0.59% | 262.53 | 0.55% | 263.53 | 0.93% | 302.89 | 0.09% |