年份

用水量

传统GM(1,1)

函数变换

残差修正

弱化算子

预测值

相对误差/%

预测值

相对误差/%

预测值

相对误差/%

预测值

相对误差/%

2011

301.81

301.81

0.00%

301.81

0.00%

301.81

0.00%

302.89

0.00%

2012

303.02

311.65

2.85%

299.89

1.03%

301.63

0.46%

308.40

−0.04%

2013

308.17

306.48

0.55%

313.73

1.81%

308.02

0.05%

307.00

0.07%

2014

307.60

301.40

2.01%

305.11

0.81%

307.35

0.08%

298.96

−0.20%

2015

299.30

296.40

0.97%

297.23

0.69%

297.87

0.48%

290.12

−0.11%

2016

290.60

291.49

0.31%

292.32

0.59%

292.45

0.64%

284.49

−0.17%

2017

284.90

286.66

0.62%

286.62

0.60%

286.98

0.73%

287.69

−0.14%

2018

287.80

285.90

0.66%

285.39

0.83%

286.37

0.50%

283.50

−0.04%

2019

283.40

280.23

1.12%

280.93

0.87%

285.62

0.78%

261.33

0.04%

2020

261.10

262.63

0.59%

262.53

0.55%

263.53

0.93%

302.89

0.09%