时间

沪深300

标普500

预期股权回报

中国10年期国债收益率

股权风险溢价(ERP)

预期股权回报

美国10年期国债收益率

股权风险溢价(ERP)

2004

19.477%

4.73%

14.747%

7.87%

4.22%

3.65%

2005

20.793%

3.12%

17.673%

8.47%

4.39%

4.08%

2006

10.647%

3.03%

7.617%

8.86%

4.70%

4.16%

2007

6.755%

4.43%

2.325%

8.39%

4.02%

4.37%

2008

9.207%

2.75%

6.457%

8.64%

2.21%

6.43%

2009

7.318%

3.64%

3.678%

8.20%

3.84%

4.36%

2010

7.975%

3.88%

4.095%

8.49%

3.29%

5.20%

2011

8.570%

3.42%

5.150%

7.89%

1.88%

6.01%

2012

8.320%

3.57%

4.750%

7.54%

1.76%

5.78%

2013

9.813%

4.55%

5.263%

8.00%

3.04%

4.96%

2014

7.310%

3.62%

3.690%

7.95%

2.17%

5.78%

2015

6.504%

2.82%

3.684%

8.39%

2.27%

6.12%

2016

7.158%

3.01%

4.148%

8.14%

2.45%

5.69%

2017

7.162%

3.88%

3.282%

7.49%

2.41%

5.08%

2018

7.427%

3.23%

4.197%

8.64%

2.68%

5.96%