时间

真实值

点预测值

95%置信下限

95%置信上限

预测误差

15-Jul

101.3

101.15

99.9636

102.3365

0.001481

15-Aug

102.3

101.3888

99.4454

103.3322

0.008907

15-Sep

102.4

101.4861

98.8613

104.1108

0.008925

15-Oct

102.4

101.571

98.3326

104.8095

0.008096

15-Nov

102.3

101.4985

97.5986

105.3985

0.007835

15-Dec

102

101.5355

97.0307

106.0404

0.004554

16-Jan

102.9

102.4947

96.9364

107.2012

0.003939

16-Feb

103.5

102.4998

96.3464

107.882

0.009664

16-Mar

103.5

102.4795

95.7917

108.5536

0.009860

16-Apr

—

102.5434

99.28075

105.806

—

16-May

—

102.4029

98.49685

106.309

—

16-Jun

—

102.1894

97.63472

106.744

—