实际模型

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2

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RMSE

AR(1)

9.2330

4.3094

3.6076

—

4.0320

2.5286

—

AR(2)

9.3439

3.7316

3.6573

3.0286

3.2454

3.2165

2.8790

MAE

AR(1)

7.5358

3.4454

2.7949

—

3.2263

2.0181

—

AR(2)

7.6113

2.9617

2.9261

2.4024

2.5946

2.5701

2.3100