实际模型

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2

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7

RMSE

AR(1)

9.2330

4.3050

3.6346

—

4.0224

2.5092

—

AR(2)

9.3477

3.7457

3.6470

3.0107

3.2876

3.1810

2.8541

MAE

AR(1)

7.5358

3.4417

2.8020

—

3.2104

2.0059

—

AR(2)

7.6427

2.9706

2.8951

2.4033

2.6496

2.5625

2.2840