年份

ARIMA

RVM

SVR

KELM

GWO-SVR

GWO-KELM

CEEMDAN- GWO-KELMM

2009

1.79%

91.72%

89.80%

20.48%

1.33%

0.68%

0.55%

2010

8.90%

91.40%

90.99%

22.11%

4.08%

1.56%

1.45%

2011

14.83%

87.42%

91.96%

22.41%

6.31%

0.46%

0.39%

2012

15.88%

83.02%

92.40%

21.82%

7.39%

1.37%

1.41%

2013

19.40%

79.13%

93.02%

24.36%

12.31%

1.03%

0.99%

2014

21.29%

74.64%

93.46%

25.64%

15.93%

1.73%

1.70%

2015

18.39%

69.49%

93.48%

23.30%

15.22%

2.15%

2.19%

2016

19.65%

66.02%

93.82%

24.90%

19.21%

0.80%

0.88%

2017

22.62%

61.09%

94.26%

26.63%

25.28%

0.13%

0.24%

2018

26.11%

58.28%

94.71%

29.49%

32.60%

1.94%

1.81%

2019

24.34%

55.40%

94.76%

28.33%

35.06%

1.23%

1.38%

2020

24.78%

56.04%

94.96%

30.53%

38.21%

1.39%

1.22%

平均误差

18.17%

72.80%

93.13%

25.00%

17.74%

1.21%

1.19%