模型

时间

MAE

MAPE (×10−3)

CVRMSE

LGB

一天

0.24

0.25

0.26

6.3%

6.5%

6.6%

0.95%

1.00%

0.99%

三天

0.2

0.21

0.22

5.1%

5.3%

5.6%

0.69%

0.72%

0.74%

七天

0.24

0.24

0.25

6.0%

6.1%

6.3%

0.80%

0.84%

0.86%

XGB

一天

3.21

3.21

3.24

7.7%

7.40%

7.70%

10.82%

10.54%

10.47%

三天

2.5

2.46

2.51

6.00%

5.90%

6.00%

7.66%

7.68%

7.78%

七天

2.89

2.73

2.9

6.70%

6.30%

6.70%

8.59%

8.01%

8.64%

线性

一天

6.53

6.39

5.94

15.50%

14.80%

12.20%

18.59%

18.71%

19.75%

三天

5.87

5.79

5.85

13.40%

12.90%

12.40%

17.64%

17.85%

19.21%

七天

7.18

7.16

7.49

14.90%

14.60%

14.90%

22.29%

22.64%

24.10%