萌芽期

发展期

成熟期

变量

curin1

curin2

curin3

gdp

0.013*

(1.86)

0.026***

(3.34)

0.871***

(10.56)

exp

−0.002**

(−2.40)

−0.033***

(−6.56)

−0.102***

(−2.58)

imp

0.002

(1.63)

0.026***

(6.45)

0.034

(0.90)

iip

0.006***

(4.68)

0.061***

(4.19)

0.534***

(9.38)

fin

−0.000

(−0.64)

−0.003***

(−2.63)

−0.107***

(−8.01)

inf

−0.008***

(−11.65)

−0.004

(−0.32)

0.078

(1.29)

exch

0.004**

(2.15)

0.029***

(2.88)

−0.126**

(−2.44)

back

0.887***

(48.09)

0.955***

(27.55)

0.795***

(38.63)

Constant

0.085**

(2.54)

0.572**

(2.54)

12.810***

(6.67)

Wald chi2

8363.75

11176.63

93083.41

Prob > chi2

0.0000

0.0000

0.0000