原数据序列 | ARIMA | BP | |||
日期 | 真实值 | 预测值 | 相对误差(%) | 预测值 | 相对误差(%) |
2017/3/1 | 311 | 231 | −25.72 | 298 | −4.18 |
2017/4/1 | 334 | 369 | 10.48 | 333 | −0.30 |
2017/5/1 | 481 | 602 | 25.16 | 476 | −1.04 |
2017/6/1 | 560 | 586 | 4.641 | 557 | −0.54 |
2017/7/1 | 380 | 423 | 11.32 | 373 | −1.84 |
2017/8/1 | 629 | 626 | −0.48 | 562 | −10.65 |
2017/9/1 | 582 | 563 | −3.27 | 553 | −4.98 |
2017/10/1 | 674 | 712 | 5.64 | 668 | −0.89 |
2017/11/1 | 716 | 786 | 9.78 | 713 | −0.42 |
2017/12/1 | 509 | 573 | 12.57 | 504 | −0.98 |
2018/1/1 | 402 | 476 | 18.41 | 397 | −1.24 |
2018/2/1 | 420 | 431 | 2.62 | 416 | −0.95 |
2018/3/1 | 484 | 491 | 1.45 | 473 | −2.23 |
2018/4/1 | 450 | 472 | 4.89 | 447 | −0.67 |
2018/5/1 | 689 | 703 | 2.03 | 677 | −1.74 |
2018/6/1 | 758 | 774 | 2.11 | 745 | −1.72 |
2018/7/1 | 420 | 473 | 12.62 | 417 | −0.71 |
2018/8/1 | 736 | 745 | 1.22 | 724 | −01.63 |
2018/9/1 | 689 | 701 | 1.74 | 681 | −01.16 |
2018/10/1 | 750 | 809 | 7.87 | 712 | −05.07 |
2018/11/1 | 736 | 776 | 5.43 | 701 | −04.76 |
2018/12/1 | 804 | 672 | −16.42 | 769 | −04.35 |