空间滞后类型

概率转移矩阵

时间转移矩阵

C0

C1

C2

C3

C0

C1

C2

C3

P(H0)

C0

0.983

0.008

0.007

0.001

2.1

107.6

146.4

220.1

C1

0.035

0.913

0.051

0.001

66.2

12.9

84.0

169.7

C2

0.01

0.028

0.928

0.033

117.9

102.0

6.0

98.5

C3

0.002

0

0.034

0.964

146.8

142.6

54.1

3.7

P(LAG0)

C0

0.987

0.01

0.002

0.001

2.4

162.4

79.8

156.1

C1

0.058

0.887

0.055

0

72.6

14.0

43.1

119.4

C2

0.007

0.025

0.933

0.036

96.7

130.9

4.3

85.4

C3

0.002

0

0.023

0.975

129.9

164.1

33.2

3.6

P(LAG1)

C0

0.985

0.004

0.01

0.001

2.4

83.1

75.5

193.9

C1

0.034

0.91

0.051

0.004

66.2

6.5

37.7

160.8

C2

0.017

0.02

0.929

0.034

82.3

56.8

3.5

125.7

C3

0

0

0.03

0.97

99.3

78.1

23.3

7.3

P(LAG2)

C0

0.982

0.009

0.008

0.001

3.1

79.8

65.5

111.9

C1

0.029

0.916

0.055

0

76.0

5.9

38.6

94.1

C2

0.011

0.031

0.936

0.022

100.1

59.3

4.0

61.1

C3

0.002

0

0.047

0.951

112.9

83.1

27.9

4.0

P(LAG3)

C0

0.977

0.01

0.009

0.003

2.1

107.6

146.4

220.1

C1

0.027

0.927

0.045

0

66.2

12.9

84.0

169.7

C2

0.007

0.036

0.916

0.041

117.9

102.0

6.0

98.5

C3

0.004

0

0.041

0.954

146.8

142.6

54.1

3.7