| 模型 | 非时变模型(TIM) | 时变模型(TVM) | ||
| 变量 | 系数 | t值 | 系数 | t值 |
| GDPit | 0.631*** | 3.196 | 0.124* | 1.014 |
| GDPjt | 0.968*** | 10.860 | 0.702*** | 13.892 |
| Popit | 3.938 | 0.780 | 5.607*** | 7.096 |
| Popjt | 0.069 | 0.735 | 0.215*** | 4.798 |
| Disij | −0.016 | −0.143 | −0.168*** | −2.856 |
| Borij | 1.879*** | 4.613 | 1.414*** | 7.981 |
| Langij | 2.242*** | 10.628 | 1.255*** | 10.511 |
| cons | −106.116 | −1.052 | −112.135*** | −7.607 |
| σ2 | 0.274 | 1.544 | 0.104*** | 7.125 |
| γ | 0.833* | 1.172 | 0.735** | 2.355 |
| μ | 0.111 | 0.177 | 0.313*** | 3.663 |
| η | - | - | 0.102*** | 11.517 |
| Log | −123.713 | −61.219 | ||
| LR | 38.182 | 163.170 | ||