预测方法

误差类型

MA

(k = 2)

MA

(k = 3)

ES

(ε = 0.4)

ES

(ε = 0.1)

ES

(ε = 0.9)

TS_KF

(Step = 5)

MAD

35,060,848

40,972,196

48,266,140

43,664,316

147,901,792

11,623,238

MSE (10⁹)

1,772,385

2,286,805

3,236,252

2,774,031

25,146,882

219,239

MAPE

4.40%

5.36%

6.06%

5.44%

17.56%

1.39%