模型

AIC值

$\text{SARIMA}\left(1,\text{1},0\right){\left(0,\text{1},1\right)}_{\text{4}}$

472.02

$\text{SARIMA}\left(1,\text{1},0\right){\left(1,\text{1},0\right)}_{\text{4}}$

463.52

$\text{SARIMA}\left(1,\text{1},0\right){\left(1,\text{1},1\right)}_{\text{4}}$

458.62

$\text{SARIMA}\left(1,\text{1},3\right){\left(0,\text{1},1\right)}_{\text{4}}$

472.17

$\text{SARIMA}\left(1,\text{1},3\right){\left(1,\text{1},0\right)}_{\text{4}}$

464.37

$\text{SARIMA}\left(1,\text{1},3\right){\left(1,\text{1},1\right)}_{\text{4}}$

456.71

$\text{SARIMA}\left(0,\text{1},3\right){\left(0,\text{1},\text{1}\right)}_{\text{4}}$

470.64

$\text{SARIMA}\left(0,\text{1},3\right){\left(1,\text{1},0\right)}_{\text{4}}$

466.42

$\text{SARIMA}\left(0,\text{1},3\right){\left(1,\text{1},\text{1}\right)}_{\text{4}}$

461.79

$\text{SARIMA}\left(0,\text{1},0\right){\left(0,\text{1},\text{1}\right)}_{\text{4}}$

470.87

$\text{SARIMA}\left(0,\text{1},0\right){\left(\text{1},\text{1},\text{0}\right)}_{\text{4}}$

464.70

$\text{SARIMA}\left(0,\text{1},0\right){\left(\text{1},\text{1},\text{1}\right)}_{\text{4}}$

含非平稳季节性的AR部分