|
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
| 2004 | 4729.7 | 9262.9 | 13,885.7 | 18,677 |
| 预测值 | 5150.745 | 9691.172 | 14,772.18 | 18,967.42 |
| 误差率 | 8.90% | 4.62% | 6.38% | 1.55% |
| 2005 | 5203.4 | 9831.4 | 14,907.3 | 19,608.9 |
| 预测值 | 5374.84 | 10,108.27 | 15,401.2 | 19,766.57 |
| 误差率 | 3.29% | 2.82% | 3.31% | 0.80% |
| 2006 | 5301 | 10,356.2 | 15,613.2 | 20,284.6 |
| 预测值 | 5598.936 | 10,525.37 | 16,030.21 | 20,565.71 |
| 误差率 | 5.62% | 1.63% | 2.67% | 1.38% |
| 2007 | 5731.9 | 11,217.4 | 18,036.5 | 21,698.9 |
| 预测值 | 5823.032 | 10,942.48 | 16,659.23 | 21,364.86 |
| 误差率 | 1.58% | −2.45% | −7.64% | −1.54% |
| 2008 | 6006.5 | 11,355.8 | 17,618.8 | 22,068.5 |
| 预测值 | 6047.127 | 11,359.58 | 17,288.24 | 22,164.01 |
| 误差率 | 0.68% | 0.03% | −1.88% | 0.43% |
| 2009 | 6486.6 | 12,731.9 | 18,283.3 | 22,862.8 |
| 预测值 | 6271.223 | 11,776.68 | 17,917.26 | 22,963.15 |
| 误差率 | −3.32% | −7.50% | −2.00% | 0.44% |
| 2010 | 6704.7 | 12,593.4 | 18,980.6 | 23,641.7 |
| 预测值 | 6495.318 | 12,193.78 | 18,546.28 | 23,762.3 |
| 误差率 | −3.12% | −3.17% | −2.29% | 0.51% |
| 2011 | 7000 | 12,901.3 | 19,601 | 24,431.7 |
| 预测值 | 6719.414 | 12,610.88 | 19,175.29 | 24,561.45 |
| 误差率 | −4.00% | −2.25% | −2.17% | 0.53% |
| 2012 | 7052 | 13,232.4 | 19,985.7 | 25,403 |
| 预测值 | 6943.51 | 13,027.98 | 19,804.31 | 25,360.59 |
| 误差率 | −1.54% | −1.54% | −0.91% | −0.17% |
| 2013 | 7429.8 | 13,379.8 | 20,177.4 | 25,759.9 |
| 预测值 | 7167.605 | 13,445.08 | 20,433.32 | 26,159.74 |
| 误差率 | −3.53% | 0.49% | 1.27% | 1.55% |
| 2014 | 7290.1 | 13,386.9 | 20,270.2 | 26,079.5 |
| 预测值 | 7391.701 | 13,862.18 | 21,062.34 | 26,958.89 |
| 误差率 | 1.39% | 3.55% | 3.91% | 3.37% |
| 2015 | 7197.1 | 13,280.1 | 19,909.4 | 26,127.2 |
| 预测值 | 7370.336 | 13,421.18 | 19,792.18 | 24,576.43 |
| 误差率 | 2.41% | 1.06% | −0.59% | −5.94% |
| 2016 | 6593.81 | 11,530.72 | 17,224.39 | 23,067.37 |
| 预测值 | 6732.139 | 12,233.33 | 18,000.82 | 22,300.56 |
| 误差率 | 2.10% | 6.10% | 4.51% | −3.32% |