年份 | 数据 | GM(1,1) | APE(%) | PR(2) | APE(%) | 指数曲线 | APE(%) |
2015 | 16.4 | 16.40 | 0.00 | 16.48 | 0.49 | 16.05 | 2.16 |
2016 | 18 | 17.56 | 2.46 | 17.70 | 1.67 | 17.86 | 0.76 |
2017 | 19.1 | 19.69 | 3.07 | 19.52 | 2.20 | 19.89 | 4.12 |
2018 | 22.2 | 22.07 | 0.57 | 21.94 | 1.17 | 22.14 | 0.27 |
2019 | 24.9 | 24.75 | 0.60 | 24.96 | 0.24 | 24.65 | 1.01 |
MAPE(%) |
|
| 1.67 |
| 1.32 |
| 1.54 |
RMSPE(%) |
|
| 2.01 |
| 1.50 |
| 2.16 |
2020 |
| 27.75 | 28.58 | 27.44 | |||
2021 |
| 31.12 | 32.80 | 30.55 | |||
2022 |
| 34.89 | 37.62 | 34.01 | |||
2023 |
| 39.13 | 43.04 | 37.86 |