| probit模型 | Logit模型 | 泊松模型 | probit模型 | Logit模型 | 泊松模型 |
test1 | test2 | test3 | test4 | test5 | test6 | |
| 二孩生育意愿 | 三孩生育意愿 | ||||
公共服务质量 | −0.00588*** | −0.0103*** | −0.00198*** | −0.00384*** | −0.00694*** | −0.00493*** |
−0.00119 | −0.00205 | −0.000434 | −0.00126 | −0.00223 | −0.00166 | |
家庭养老观念 | 0.161*** | 0.290*** | 0.0551*** | 0.0976*** | 0.177*** | 0.120*** |
−0.0339 | −0.0594 | −0.0112 | −0.0346 | −0.0606 | −0.0437 | |
幸福感 | 0.0465** | 0.0813** | 0.0166** | 0.0306 | 0.0589 | 0.0406 |
−0.0209 | −0.0365 | −0.00724 | −0.0216 | −0.0384 | −0.0281 | |
年龄 | 0.0178*** | 0.0307*** | 0.00563*** | 0.0242*** | 0.0443*** | 0.0331*** |
−0.0013 | −0.00227 | −0.000427 | −0.00143 | −0.0026 | −0.00186 | |
受教育年限 | −0.0130** | −0.0200* | −0.00768*** | −0.0254*** | −0.0532*** | −0.0453*** |
−0.00653 | −0.0112 | −0.00255 | −0.00763 | −0.0141 | −0.011 | |
性别 | 0.0335 | 0.0699 | 0.0154 | 0.0645** | 0.0965* | 0.0756* |
−0.0322 | −0.0563 | −0.0109 | −0.0328 | −0.0574 | −0.042 | |
同住人数 | 0.0800*** | 0.139*** | 0.0263*** | 0.0288** | 0.0483** | 0.0366** |
−0.0134 | −0.0236 | −0.00377 | −0.0135 | −0.0239 | −0.0171 | |
居住面积 | 0.00143*** | 0.00275*** | 0.000349*** | −0.000142 | −0.000235 | −0.000138 |
−0.000282 | −0.00055 | −6.06E−05 | −0.00023 | −0.0004 | −0.000286 | |
投资行为 | 0.0288 | 0.0392 | 0.0214 | 0.0254 | 0.0558 | 0.0626 |
−0.055 | −0.0937 | −0.025 | −0.0678 | −0.125 | −0.101 | |
经济地位 | 0.0491** | 0.0855** | 0.0186*** | −0.00177 | 0.0027 | 0.00377 |
−0.0206 | −0.0362 | −0.0067 | −0.0203 | −0.0355 | −0.0254 | |
城镇居民 | −0.290*** | −0.510*** | −0.0956*** | −0.227*** | −0.394*** | −0.281*** |
−0.0389 | −0.068 | −0.0135 | −0.0421 | −0.0751 | −0.056 | |
商业医疗保险 | 0.00724 | 0.0118 | 0.00176 | −0.00864 | −0.0145 | −0.0163 |
−0.00703 | −0.0114 | −0.0017 | −0.0094 | −0.0179 | −0.0199 | |
失业率 | −0.227*** | −0.393*** | −0.0760*** | −0.151*** | −0.264*** | −0.191*** |
−0.0263 | −0.0461 | −0.00923 | −0.0265 | −0.0461 | −0.0337 | |
消费价格指数 | 0.0579*** | 0.102*** | 0.0178*** | 0.0145* | 0.0264* | 0.0183* |
−0.00838 | −0.0149 | −0.00212 | −0.00771 | −0.0136 | −0.00966 | |
地区生产总值对数 | −0.00307 | −0.00305 | 0.00272 | −0.0717** | −0.125** | −0.0951** |
−0.0264 | −0.0455 | −0.00897 | −0.0294 | −0.0534 | −0.0388 | |
Constant | −5.711*** | −10.16*** | −2.302*** | −2.300*** | −4.199*** | −3.629*** |
−0.926 | −1.644 | −0.26 | −0.859 | −1.505 | −1.076 | |
Observations | 8,518 | 8,518 | 8,518 | 8,518 | 8,518 | 8,518 |