probit模型

Logit模型

泊松模型

probit模型

Logit模型

泊松模型

test7

test8

test9

test10

test11

test12

 

二孩生育转化行为

三孩生育转化行为

公共服务质量

−0.00997***

−0.0167***

−0.00601***

−0.0102***

−0.0184***

−0.0119***

−0.00116

−0.00194

−0.000827

−0.00148

−0.00265

−0.00177

家庭养老观念

0.225***

0.390***

0.130***

0.183***

0.305***

0.169***

−0.0326

−0.0553

−0.0203

−0.0392

−0.0691

−0.0432

年龄

0.0401***

0.0701***

0.0248***

0.0464***

0.0891***

0.0592***

−0.00142

−0.00254

−0.000838

−0.00192

−0.00362

−0.00205

受教育年限

−0.0390***

−0.0675***

−0.0456***

−0.0418***

−0.0927***

−0.0703***

−0.00653

−0.0111

−0.00543

−0.00987

−0.0178

−0.0126

性别

−0.122***

−0.207***

−0.0557***

−0.0468

−0.0919

−0.0477

−0.0309

−0.0522

−0.0198

−0.0373

−0.0664

−0.0423

同住人数

0.204***

0.358***

0.114***

0.0522***

0.0849***

0.0541***

−0.0139

−0.0245

−0.00692

−0.0156

−0.0283

−0.017

居住面积

0.000616***

0.00107***

0.000334***

−1.00E−05

0.000111

0.000181

−0.000231

−0.000394

−0.000118

−0.000252

−0.00045

−0.000268

投资行为

0.329***

0.592***

0.425***

0.237**

0.486***

0.458***

−0.061

−0.105

−0.0669

−0.0936

−0.169

−0.135

经济地位

0.0636***

0.108***

0.0453***

0.0314

0.0716*

0.0496**

−0.0196

−0.0334

−0.0119

−0.0225

−0.0396

−0.0241

城镇居民

−0.687***

−1.184***

−0.437***

−0.485***

−0.851***

−0.527***

−0.038

−0.0656

−0.0275

−0.0478

−0.0855

−0.0566

商业医疗保险

0.00875

0.0154

0.00476

−0.0601

−0.105

−0.147

−0.00671

−0.0106

−0.00488

−0.0778

−0.142

−0.112

失业率

−0.228***

−0.386***

−0.137***

−0.236***

−0.411***

−0.255***

−0.0251

−0.0422

−0.0165

−0.0302

−0.0529

−0.0341

消费价格指数

0.0232***

0.0426***

0.0161***

0.0250***

0.0431***

0.0243***

−0.00729

−0.0122

−0.00465

−0.00874

−0.0156

−0.0093

地区生产总值对数

−0.0118

−0.0234

−0.0131

−0.012

−0.0424

−0.0278

−0.026

−0.0443

−0.0172

−0.0341

−0.0626

−0.0394

Constant

−3.956***

−7.192***

−3.540***

−4.985***

−8.889***

−6.458***

−0.826

−1.385

−0.525

−0.966

−1.71

−1.045

Observations

8,518

8,518

8,518

8,518

8,518

8,518