年份 | 实际值 | 预测值 | 残差 | 相对误差 | P | S1 | S2 |
2009 | 427.48 | 427.48 | 0 | 0 | 96.59% | 444.5419391 | 42.47649949 |
2010 | 509.47 | 575.4216791 | 65.9517 | 0.12945 |
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2011 | 679.67 | 655.9934537 | −23.6765 | 0.03484 |
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2012 | 757.67 | 747.8470606 | −9.8229 | 0.01296 |
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2013 | 847.66 | 852.562206 | 4.9022 | 0.00578 |
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2014 | 927.3 | 971.9397902 | 44.6398 | 0.04814 |
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2015 | 1095.19 | 1108.032879 | 12.8429 | 0.01173 |
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2016 | 1313.85 | 1263.182013 | −50.6680 | 0.03856 |
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2017 | 1511.85 | 1440.055462 | −71.7945 | 0.04749 |
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2018 | 1654.35 | 1641.695108 | −12.6549 | 0.00765 |
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2019 | 1801.89 | 1871.56877 | 69.6788 | 0.03867 |
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