年份

实际值

预测值

残差

2021

88090.92

84921.82

3169.1

2020

85128.85

81508.11

3620.74

2019

82127.22

79511.79

2615.43

2018

80447.87

80136.42

311.45

2017

79308.32

78888.32

420

2016

77390.38

78247.67

−857.29

2015

76176.72

77035.89

−859.17

2014

74400.98

78366.70

−3965.72

2013

72321.61

77644.34

−5322.73

2012

70484.59

73575.49

−3090.9

2011

68609.72

70126.63

−1516.91

2010

65834.33

68128.56

−2294.23

2009

67403.02

66155.69

1247.33

2008

66701.06

65586.44

1114.62

2007

65352.04

63727.04

1625

2006

61731.06

62514.96

−783.9

2005

64172.14

61834.32

2337.82

2004

62486.29

62042.29

444

2003

61297.45

61391.89

−94.44