指标

城乡

模拟方程

C

P

MMR

城市

${\widehat{X}}^{\left(1\right)}\left(k+1\right)=-442.3548{\text{e}}^{-0.0573k}+472.0548$

0.0314

96.26%

农村

${\widehat{X}}^{\left(1\right)}\left(k+1\right)=-610.8515{\text{e}}^{-0.0434k}+640.9515$

0.0542

96.53%

NMR

城市

${\widehat{X}}^{\left(1\right)}\left(k+1\right)=-53.9261{\text{e}}^{-0.0819k}+58.0261$

0.0474

95.18%

农村

${\widehat{X}}^{\left(1\right)}\left(k+1\right)=-100.1291{\text{e}}^{-0.0959k}+110.1291$

0.0072

97.85%

IMR

城市

${\widehat{X}}^{\left(1\right)}\left(k+1\right)=-95.3509{\text{e}}^{-0.0625k}+101.1509$

0.0230

97.58%

农村

${\widehat{X}}^{\left(1\right)}\left(k+1\right)=-154.5128{\text{e}}^{-0.0961k}+170.6128$

0.0083

98.11%

U5MR

城市

${\widehat{X}}^{\left(1\right)}\left(k+1\right)=-119.1306{\text{e}}^{-0.0592k}+126.4306$

0.0617

96.35%

农村

${\widehat{X}}^{\left(1\right)}\left(k+1\right)=-225.3514{\text{e}}^{-0.0842k}+245.4514$

0.0180

97.56%