年份 | 组合预测模型 | BP | CSGM(1,1) | GM(1,1) |
2008 | 0.106485 | 0.045038 | 0.150426 | 0.244305 |
2009 | 0.026030 | 0.078753 | 0.101916 | 0.317722 |
2010 | 0.002469 | 0.169380 | 0.127972 | 0.281797 |
2011 | 0.004984 | 0.219711 | 0.152252 | 0.248351 |
2012 | 0.012900 | 0.203618 | 0.126547 | 0.288520 |
2013 | 0.025361 | 0.178323 | 0.086110 | 0.350602 |
2014 | 0.020618 | 0.106377 | 0.041101 | 0.419671 |
2015 | 0.048216 | 0.072461 | 0.032091 | 0.530786 |
2016 | 0.048640 | 0.012006 | 0.095370 | 0.627568 |
RMSPEPO | 4.4688% | 13.9508% | 10.9451% | 38.8671% |