模型名称

模型均值函数

Model 1

GO

m ( t ) = a ( 1 e b t )

Model 2

DSS

m ( t ) = a [ 1 ( 1 + b t ) e b t ]

Model 3

GO_ASDE

E [ N ( t ) ] = i = 1 k a i [ 1 e b i t + 1 2 δ i 2 t ]

Model 4

DSS_ASDE

E [ N ( t ) ] = i = 1 k a i [ 1 ( 1 + b i t ) e b i t + 1 2 δ i 2 t ]