模型

Yule-Walker估计

MSE

Po-RNMTINAR(1)

α ^ = 0.2703

7.1507

σ ^ α 2 = 0.0298

λ ^ = 4.4110

p ^ = 0.3743

Po-MTINAR(1)

α ^ = 0.2703

7.1529

λ ^ = 6.0348

p ^ = 5.2578