年份 | 序列值 | X(1)模拟值 | X(0)模拟值 | 残差 | 相对模拟误差(%) |
2017.6 | 5.117 | 5.117 | 5.117 | 0 | 0 |
2017.9 | 5.555 | 9.9371 | 4.8200 | 0.7349155 | 13.22980% |
2017.12 | 5.630 | 15.3640 | 5.4270 | 0.2030488 | 3.606550% |
2018.3 | 5.755 | 21.4743 | 6.1102 | −0.3552248 | 6.172455% |
2018.6 | 6.094 | 28.3538 | 6.8795 | −0.7855251 | 12.89014% |
2018.9 | 6.722 | 36.0995 | 7.7457 | −1.023683 | 15.22885% |
2018.12 | 7.524 | 44.8204 | 8.7209 | −1.196894 | 15.90768% |
2019.3 | 8.594 | 54.6393 | 9.8189 | −1.224887 | 14.25282% |
2019.6 | 8.759 | 65.6944 | 11.0551 | −2.296122 | 26.21443% |
2019.9 | 12.123 | 78.1414 | 12.4470 | −0.3240034 | 2.672634% |
2019.12 | 13.827 | 92.1555 | 14.0141 | −0.1871279 | 1.353352% |
2020.3 | 15.968 | 107.9341 | 15.7786 | 0.1894407 | 1.186377% |
2020.6 | 18.576 | 125.6992 | 17.7651 | 0.8108607 | 4.365099% |
2020.9 | 19.251 | 145.7010 | 20.0018 | −0.7508371 | 3.900250% |
2020.12 | 23.052 | 168.2212 | 22.5201 | 0.5318564 | 2.307203% |
2021.3 | 26.769 | 193.5767 | 25.3555 | 1.413486 | 5.280308% |
2021.6 | 29.317 | 222.1246 | 28.5479 | 0.7691310 | 2.623498% |
2021.9 | 31.936 | 254.2667 | 32.1422 | −0.2061531 | 0.6455195% |
2021.12 | 35.397 | 290.4557 | 36.1890 | −0.7919711 | 2.237396% |
2022.3 | 39.195 | 331.2010 | 40.7453 | −1.550299 | 3.955348% |
2022.6 | 43.618 | 377.0763 | 45.8753 | −2.257285 | 5.175123% |