| 疫情前 | 疫情后 | ||||||
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2016~2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020~2021 | |
死亡 | ||||||||
AUC | 0.95 | 0.84 | 0.87 | 0.86 | 0.87 | 0.79 | 0.90 | 0.84 |
Specificity (%) | 76.2 | 65.9 | 70.1 | 74.8 | 73.1 | 72.5 | 76.9 | 74.9 |
Sensitivity (%) | 100.0 | 81.8 | 88.2 | 84.2 | 86.3 | 75.0 | 83.3 | 78.6 |
转入ICU | ||||||||
AUC | 0.88 | 0.84 | 0.90 | 0.87 | 0.88 | 0.86 | 0.89 | 0.87 |
Specificity (%) | 77.4 | 68.8 | 73.1 | 76.5 | 75.2 | 74.3 | 78.1 | 76.4 |
Sensitivity (%) | 82.4 | 82.5 | 89.1 | 83.8 | 85.0 | 84.5 | 85.7 | 85.0 |
有创通气 | ||||||||
AUC | 0.89 | 0.85 | 0.90 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.88 |
Specificity (%) | 77.09 | 68.78 | 73.11 | 76.74 | 75.25 | 74.41 | 78 | 76.4 |
Sensitivity (%) | 84.91 | 82.47 | 90.22 | 84.08 | 85.92 | 85.91 | 84.11 | 85.16 |