疫情前

疫情后

2016

2017

2018

2019

2016~2019

2020

2021

2020~2021

死亡

AUC

0.95

0.84

0.87

0.86

0.87

0.79

0.90

0.84

Specificity (%)

76.2

65.9

70.1

74.8

73.1

72.5

76.9

74.9

Sensitivity (%)

100.0

81.8

88.2

84.2

86.3

75.0

83.3

78.6

转入ICU

AUC

0.88

0.84

0.90

0.87

0.88

0.86

0.89

0.87

Specificity (%)

77.4

68.8

73.1

76.5

75.2

74.3

78.1

76.4

Sensitivity (%)

82.4

82.5

89.1

83.8

85.0

84.5

85.7

85.0

有创通气

AUC

0.89

0.85

0.90

0.88

0.88

0.87

0.89

0.88

Specificity (%)

77.09

68.78

73.11

76.74

75.25

74.41

78

76.4

Sensitivity (%)

84.91

82.47

90.22

84.08

85.92

85.91

84.11

85.16