| 年份 | 实际值 | 模拟预测值 | 绝对残差 | 相对残差% |
| 2006 | 5272.07 | 5272.07 | 0 | 0% |
| 2007 | 6340.35 | 5841.83 | 498.52 | 7.86% |
| 2008 | 6834.92 | 6475.11 | 359.81 | 5.26% |
| 2009 | 6111.18 | 7177.05 | −1065.87 | −17.44% |
| 2010 | 7848.96 | 7955.08 | −106.12 | −1.35% |
| 2011 | 9133.34 | 8817.46 | 315.88 | 3.46% |
| 2012 | 9839.47 | 9773.32 | 66.15 | 0.67% |
| 2013 | 10915.7 | 10832.81 | 82.89 | 0.76% |