月份 | 实际值 (千万美元) | SARIMA(0,1,1) × (0,1,1)12预测值 | 误差/% | Holt-Winters三参数指数模型预测值 | 误差/% |
2022-1 | 253.63 | 271.57 | 7.07% | 266.85 | 5.21% |
2022-2 | 191.31 | 225.31 | 17.77% | 230.28 | 20.37% |
2022-3 | 268.20 | 260.13 | −.01% | 275.9 | 2.87% |
2022-4 | 239.67 | 274.49 | 14.53% | 289.56 | 20.82% |
2022-5 | 203.10 | 273.17 | 34.50% | 285.83 | 40.74% |
2022-6 | 260.07 | 285.70 | 9.85% | 295.27 | 13.53% |
2022-7 | — | 301.43 | — | 304.07 | — |
2022-8 | — | 298.50 | — | 296.66 | — |
2022-9 | — | 298.65 | — | 292.70 | — |
2022-10 | — | 288.91 | — | 279.12 | — |
2022-11 | — | 300.15 | — | 286.40 | — |
2022-12 | — | 314.04 | — | 293.68 | — |