预测指标

GM(1,1)模型

δ

v

全国

GDP

x ( 0 ) ( 1 ) ( 1.08 1 ) + 554832.21 = 596158.22

0.20%

9154711.90

人均GDP

x ( 0 ) ( 1 ) ( 1.07 1 ) + 41083.64 = 43922.15

0.20%

48483.23

就业人口

x ( 0 ) ( 1 ) ( 1.00 1 ) + 76803.84 = 77009.99

0.04%

3964.60

江苏

GDP

x ( 0 ) ( 1 ) ( 1.11 1 ) + 31438.13 = 34378.74

4.36%%

48349824.38

人均GDP

x ( 0 ) ( 1 ) ( 1.11 1 ) + 40382.01 = 44086.89

4.16%

71253750.77

就业人口

x ( 0 ) ( 1 ) ( 1.00 1 ) + 4720.99 = 4726.41

0.24%

1617.45

浙江

GDP

x ( 0 ) ( 1 ) ( 1.08 1 ) + 34720.35 = 37420.78

0.87%

638041.54

人均GDP

x ( 0 ) ( 1 ) ( 1.07 1 ) + 63669.12 = 68282.14

0.76%

1592940.13

就业人口

x ( 0 ) ( 1 ) ( 1.00 1 ) + 3685.94 = 3703.15

0.14%

110.45

上海

GDP

x ( 0 ) ( 1 ) ( 1.1 1 ) + 30757.8 = 33076.2

2.4%

8838789.5

人均GDP

x ( 0 ) ( 1 ) ( 1.07 1 ) + 72062.82 = 76891.88

1.23%

11713897.46

就业人口

x ( 0 ) ( 1 ) ( 1.04 1 ) + 1046.29 = 1094.18

4.14%

29565.15

安徽

GDP

x ( 0 ) ( 1 ) ( 1.08 1 ) + 17913.22 = 19229.53

0.63%

116211.26

人均GDP

x ( 0 ) ( 1 ) ( 1.07 1 ) + 30092.34 = 32018.82

0.65%

315017.83

就业人口

x ( 0 ) ( 1 ) ( 1.01 1 ) + 4251.43 = 4279.55

0.09%

66.76