| 模型 | 时间 | 预测值 | 真实值 | 相对误差(%) |
| ARIMA(1, 1, 4) | 2020 | 3631.6414 | 3204.9217 | 13..3145 |
| 2021 | 4448.2276 | 3178.5481 | 39.9453 | |
| 2022 | 5373.3187 |
|
| |
| 2023 | 6508.5697 |
|
| |
| 2024 | 7849.0752 |
|
| |
| ARIMA(1, 1, (1, 4)) | 2020 | 3353.1383 | 3204.9217 | 4.6247 |
| 2021 | 3324.4250 | 3178.5481 | 4.6070 | |
| 2022 | 2998.3967 |
|
| |
| 2023 | 2890.0035 |
|
| |
| 2024 | 2839.3658 |
|
|