年份

实测区间水量(亿m3)

方案1 (以SSR为目标)

方案2 (以SSR和RE为目标)

方案3 (在SSR基础上引入约束)

模拟区间水量(亿m3)

年总水量误差

模拟区间水量(亿m3)

年总水量误差

模拟区间水量(亿m3)

年总水量误差

1991

331.0

358.0

-8.2%

376.1

-13.7%

389.0

-17.5%

1992

210.9

271.9

-28.9%

278.8

-32.2%

297.1

-40.9%

1993

339.2

381.4

-12.4%

396.4

-16.9%

416.4

-22.8%

1994

219.3

359.5

-63.9%

302.8

-38.1%

341.3

-55.6%

1995

377.9

492.4

-30.3%

465.3

-23.1%

481.3

-27.3%

1996

386.3

349.8

9.4%

313.7

18.8%

342.3

11.4%

1997

309.2

299.3

3.2%

253.8

17.9%

285.2

7.8%

1998

757.6

573.4

24.3%

575

24.1%

585.5

22.7%

1999

468.5

468.6

0.0%

436.6

6.8%

461

1.6%

2000

240.6

315.5

-31.2%

253.7

-5.5%

289.3

-20.2%

总计

3640.5

3869.8

-6.3%

3652.2

-0.3%

3888.4

-6.8%

2001

289.7

271.6

6.3%

229.5

20.8%

266.5

8.0%

2002

547.9

525.1

4.2%

526.4

3.9%

535.5

2.3%

2003

355.4

379.2

-6.7%

344.8

3.0%

374.8

-5.5%

2004

305.9

269

12.1%

244.8

20.0%

280.3

8.4%

2005

260.6

276.9

-6.3%

280.3

-7.6%

292.1

-12.1%

2006

253.2

242.8

4.1%

218.7

13.6%

248.9

1.7%

2007

135.4

158.8

-17.3%

127.5

5.8%

158.6

-17.1%

2008

214.2

197.3

7.9%

158.7

25.9%

190.1

11.3%

2009

222.9

224.2

-0.6%

214.1

3.9%

220.1

1.2%

总计

2585.2

2544.9

1.6%

2344.8

9.3%

2566.9

0.7%