分段

年份

实测区间水量(亿m3)

SWAT模型

新安江模型

模拟区间水量(亿m3)

年总水量误差

模拟区间水量(亿m3)

年总水量误差

1991

331.0

281.5

14.9%

327.4

1.1%

1992

210.9

234.8

−11.3%

252.3

−19.6%

1993

339.2

312.6

8.0%

342.2

−0.9%

1994

219.3

237.5

−8.6%

228.6

−4.2%

1995

377.9

387.1

−2.4%

394.2

−4.3%

1996

386.3

343.9

10.8%

370.6

4.1%

1997

309.2

374.5

−15.3%

282.1

8.8%

1998

757.6

654.2

11.7%

594.5

21.5%

1999

468.5

503.7

−7.1%

462.6

1.3%

2000

240.6

248.3

−1.8%

273.4

−13.6%

总计

3640.5

3578.1

1.7%

3527.9

3.1%

2001

289.7

249.1

14.0%

260.8

10.0%

2002

547.9

428.2

21.9%

550.0

−0.4%

2003

355.4

354.2

0.4%

377.9

−6.3%

2004

305.9

272.1

11.0%

283.1

7.4%

2005

260.6

306.6

−17.8%

292.4

−12.2%

2006

253.2

241.6

4.8%

250.4

1.1%

2007

135.4

171.0

−26.5%

154.5

−14.1%

2008

214.2

252.4

−17.6%

202.2

5.6%

2009

222.9

240.1

−8.0%

233.7

−4.9%

总计

2585.2

2512.2

2.7%

2605.1

−0.8%