参数

真值

后验均值

后验标准差

置信区间

ψ 0

0.3

0.3072

0.0326

[0.3035,0.3109]

ψ 1

0.8

0.7936

0.0139

[0.7911,0.8098]

φ 0

0.1

0.1101

0.0843

[0.1040,0.1161]

φ 1

0.6

0.5992

0.0623

[0.5941,0.6044]

r L

0.5

0.5057

0.1923

[0.4966,0.5148]

r U

1.0

1.0946

0.3081

[1.0832,1.1061]

d

2

2

0

/