运转年数 | q | r | 年衰减率/% | 预测下一年VMD | 实测下一年VMD | 误差比/% |
3 | 19.077 | −0.144 | 4.88 | 15.625 | 15.873 | 1.56 |
4 | 18.981 | −0.129 | 4.09 | 15.422 | 15.565 | 0.92 |
5 | 18.911 | −0.121 | 3.54 | 15.225 | 15.354 | 0.84 |
6 | 18.834 | −0.114 | 3.08 |
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