| 年份 | 实际数据(万辆) | 模拟数据(万辆) | 残差 | 相对残差 |
| 2015 | 10.617 | 10.617 | 0.00 | 0.00% |
| 2016 | 26.264 | 22.219 | 4.04 | 15.4% |
| 2017 | 46.4 | 34.414 | 11.99 | 25.8% |
| 2018 | 70.778 | 53.301 | 17.48 | 24.6% |
| 2019 | 98.4 | 82.554 | 15.85 | 16.1% |
| 2020 | 136.56 | 127.862 | 8.69 | 6.3% |
| 2021 | 252.84 | 198.036 | 54.8 | 21.67% |
| 2022 | 372.8 | 306.723 | 66.08 | 17.7% |