参数

均值

标准差

95%置信区间

来源

Λ

782,999

-

-

[16]

d

1/72

-

-

[16]

μ

0.318

-

-

[17]

Π

55565

16474

[23,276, 87,854]

MCMC

β 1

7.1974 × 10−9

3.3706 × 10−9

[5.9102 × 10−10, 1.3804 × 10−8]

MCMC

β 2

1.4465 × 10−9

9.5271 × 10−10

[0, 3.3138 × 10−9]

MCMC

ε 1

0.018456

0.013096

[0.0072, 0.0441]

MCMC

ε 2

0.070751

0.012866

[0.0455, 0.0960]

MCMC

δ

0.82093

0.1318

[0.5626, 1.0793]

MCMC

θ 1

0.54411

0.27292

[0.0092, 1.0790]

MCMC

θ 2

0.037243

0.0066901

[0.0241, 0.0504]

MCMC

θ 3

0.0014571

0.0009588

[0, 0.0033]

MCMC

θ 4

0.0014526

0.0012237

[0, 0.0039]

MCMC

S ( 0 )

85,294,000

-

-

[16]

I u ( 0 )

347.94

160.28

[33.7912, 662.0888]

MCMC

I a ( 0 )

778

-

-

[18]

A ( 0 )

56

-

-

[18]

M ( 0 )

25,604

11724

[2625, 48583]

MCMC