M | φ1 | φ2 | θ1 | θ2 | QLB | QMT | QMM | QWLB | QWMT | QLB | QMT | QMM | QWLB | QWMT |
| N = 20 m = 4 | N = 30 m = 5 | ||||||||||||
模拟数据拟合AR(1)模型 | ||||||||||||||
1 | — | — | -0.50 | — | 0.118 | 0.167 | 0.102 | 0.108 | 0.144 | 0.129 | 0.144 | 0.121 | 0.118 | 0.148 |
2 | — | — | -0.80 | — | 0.228 | 0.381 | 0.268 | 0.222 | 0.333 | 0.281 | 0.467 | 0.433 | 0.326 | 0.483 |
3 | — | — | -0.60 | 0.30 | 0.116 | 0.127 | 0.089 | 0.104 | 0.124 | 0.110 | 0.113 | 0.088 | 0.105 | 0.110 |
4 | 0.10 | 0.30 | — | — | 0.045 | 0.069 | 0.027 | 0.037 | 0.042 | 0.091 | 0.117 | 0.091 | 0.101 | 0.113 |
5 | 1.30 | -0.35 | — | — | 0.996 | 0.997 | 0.998 | 0.998 | 0.998 | 0.977 | 0.974 | 0.978 | 0.979 | 0.979 |
6 | 0.70 | — | -0.40 | — | 0.029 | 0.041 | 0.007 | 0.015 | 0.013 | 0.036 | 0.046 | 0.026 | 0.027 | 0.033 |
7 | 0.70 | — | -0.90 | — | 0.067 | 0.108 | 0.044 | 0.044 | 0.068 | 0.086 | 0.116 | 0.058 | 0.059 | 0.074 |
8 | 0.40 | — | -0.60 | 0.30 | 0.049 | 0.058 | 0.029 | 0.031 | 0.039 | 0.040 | 0.052 | 0.028 | 0.033 | 0.036 |
9 | 0.70 | — | 0.70 | -0.15 | 0.843 | 0.892 | 0.890 | 0.856 | 0.905 | 0.533 | 0.745 | 0.777 | 0.625 | 0.812 |
10 | 0.70 | 0.20 | 0.50 | — | 0.990 | 0.993 | 0.990 | 0.991 | 0.991 | 0.997 | 0.997 | 0.997 | 0.997 | 0.997 |
11 | 0.70 | 0.20 | -0.50 | — | 0.047 | 0.071 | 0.029 | 0.032 | 0.044 | 0.116 | 0.116 | 0.107 | 0.113 | 0.126 |
12 | 0.90 | -0.40 | 1.20 | -0.30 | 0.720 | 0.830 | 0.814 | 0.771 | 0.858 | 0.809 | 0.914 | 0.938 | 0.882 | 0.950 |
模拟数据拟合MA(1)模型 | ||||||||||||||
13 | 0.50 | — | — | — | 0.044 | 0.081 | 0.034 | 0.036 | 0.046 | 0.072 | 0.089 | 0.065 | 0.077 | 0.087 |
14 | 0.80 | — | — | — | 0.248 | 0.258 | 0.232 | 0.290 | 0.279 | 0.459 | 0.434 | 0.479 | 0.530 | 0.512 |
15 | 1.10 | -0.35 | — | — | 0.409 | 0.436 | 0.433 | 0.495 | 0.487 | 0.654 | 0.641 | 0.676 | 0.695 | 0.709 |
16 | — | — | 0.80 | -0.50 | 0.078 | 0.183 | 0.108 | 0.064 | 0.157 | 0.128 | 0.233 | 0.211 | 0.130 | 0.244 |
17 | — | — | -0.60 | 0.30 | 0.086 | 0.110 | 0.071 | 0.100 | 0.096 | 0.115 | 0.132 | 0.108 | 0.119 | 0.130 |
18 | 0.50 | — | -0.70 | — | 0.038 | 0.064 | 0.019 | 0.018 | 0.031 | 0.051 | 0.062 | 0.031 | 0.035 | 0.039 |
19 | -0.50 | — | 0.70 | — | 0.029 | 0.071 | 0.022 | 0.018 | 0.033 | 0.048 | 0.060 | 0.028 | 0.024 | 0.036 |
20 | 0.30 | — | 0.80 | -0.50 | 0.051 | 0.093 | 0.046 | 0.027 | 0.072 | 0.073 | 0.100 | 0.063 | 0.055 | 0.086 |
21 | 0.80 | — | -0.50 | 0.30 | 0.185 | 0.221 | 0.160 | 0.192 | 0.204 | 0.436 | 0.478 | 0.461 | 0.484 | 0.503 |
22 | 1.20 | -0.50 | 0.90 | — | 0.901 | 0.904 | 0.932 | 0.943 | 0.945 | 0.983 | 0.981 | 0.987 | 0.990 | 0.989 |
23 | 0.30 | -0.20 | -0.70 | — | 0.112 | 0.146 | 0.096 | 0.079 | 0.134 | 0.137 | 0.193 | 0.194 | 0.155 | 0.225 |
24 | 0.90 | -0.40 | 1.20 | -0.30 | 0.463 | 0.466 | 0.480 | 0.528 | 0.533 | 0.615 | 0.628 | 0.667 | 0.689 | 0.713 |