年份 | 实际值 | 指数曲线 | APE (%) | 修正指数曲线 | APE (%) | 新型指数曲线 | APE (%) |
2004 | 4665.16 | 4492.7207 | 3.6963 | 4398.7176 | 5.7113 | 4354.4133 | 6.6610 |
2005 | 4451.07 | 4464.0690 | 0.2920 | 4398.7107 | 1.1763 | 3498.2293 | 21.4070 |
2006 | 4157.14 | 4435.6000 | 6.6984 | 4398.6904 | 5.8105 | 3698.3086 | 11.0372 |
2007 | 4321.38 | 4407.3125 | 1.9885 | 4398.6312 | 1.7877 | 3728.2893 | 13.7246 |
2008 | 4560.20 | 4379.2054 | 3.9690 | 4398.4584 | 3.5468 | 3800.6831 | 16.6553 |
2009 | 4029.16 | 4351.2776 | 7.9947 | 4397.9538 | 9.1531 | 3877.5154 | 3.7637 |
2010 | 4593.00 | 4323.5279 | 5.8670 | 4396.4802 | 4.2787 | 3964.7169 | 13.6791 |
2011 | 4402.71 | 4295.9551 | 2.4248 | 4392.1776 | 0.2392 | 4060.7058 | 7.7680 |
2012 | 4196.35 | 4268.5582 | 1.7207 | 4379.6141 | 4.3672 | 4165.3080 | 0.7397 |
2013 | 4415.74 | 4241.3360 | 3.9496 | 4342.9294 | 1.6489 | 4278.1742 | 3.1154 |
2014 | 4416.30 | 4214.2875 | 4.5742 | 4235.8119 | 4.0869 | 4399.0389 | 0.3908 |
2015 | 3853.00 | 4187.4114 | 8.6792 | 3923.0346 | 1.8177 | 4527.6633 | 17.5101 |
2016 | 4642.20 | 4160.7067 | 10.3721 | 3009.7415 | 35.1656 | 4663.8366 | 0.4661 |
2017 | 4749.90 | 4134.1723 | 12.9630 | 342.9741 | 92.7793 | 4807.3699 | 1.2099 |
MAPEfit (%) |
| 4.3780 |
| 3.4466 |
| 9.9810 | |
MAPEfore (%) |
| 11.6675 |
| 63.9725 |
| 0.08380 | |
MAPEtotal (%) |
| 5.4995 |
| 12.7583 |
| 8.7544 |