年份

实际值

指数曲线

APE (%)

修正指数曲线

APE (%)

新型指数曲线

APE (%)

2004

4665.16

4492.7207

3.6963

4398.7176

5.7113

4354.4133

6.6610

2005

4451.07

4464.0690

0.2920

4398.7107

1.1763

3498.2293

21.4070

2006

4157.14

4435.6000

6.6984

4398.6904

5.8105

3698.3086

11.0372

2007

4321.38

4407.3125

1.9885

4398.6312

1.7877

3728.2893

13.7246

2008

4560.20

4379.2054

3.9690

4398.4584

3.5468

3800.6831

16.6553

2009

4029.16

4351.2776

7.9947

4397.9538

9.1531

3877.5154

3.7637

2010

4593.00

4323.5279

5.8670

4396.4802

4.2787

3964.7169

13.6791

2011

4402.71

4295.9551

2.4248

4392.1776

0.2392

4060.7058

7.7680

2012

4196.35

4268.5582

1.7207

4379.6141

4.3672

4165.3080

0.7397

2013

4415.74

4241.3360

3.9496

4342.9294

1.6489

4278.1742

3.1154

2014

4416.30

4214.2875

4.5742

4235.8119

4.0869

4399.0389

0.3908

2015

3853.00

4187.4114

8.6792

3923.0346

1.8177

4527.6633

17.5101

2016

4642.20

4160.7067

10.3721

3009.7415

35.1656

4663.8366

0.4661

2017

4749.90

4134.1723

12.9630

342.9741

92.7793

4807.3699

1.2099

MAPEfit (%)

4.3780

3.4466

9.9810

MAPEfore (%)

11.6675

63.9725

0.08380

MAPEtotal (%)

5.4995

12.7583

8.7544