| 年份 | 实际值 | 预测值 | 残差 | 相对误差 | S1 | S2 |
| 2011 | 447.74 | 447.74 | 0 | 0 | 313.3890 | 56.9785 |
| 2012 | 563.6 | 599.1295 | −35.5295 | 0.0630 |
|
|
| 2013 | 647.4 | 666.6782 | −19.2782 | 0.0298 |
|
|
| 2014 | 738.64 | 741.8427 | −3.2027 | 0.0043 |
|
|
| 2015 | 817.97 | 825.4816 | −7.5116 | 0.0092 |
|
|
| 2016 | 908.33 | 918.5504 | −10.2170 | 0.0112 |
|
|
| 2017 | 1037.49 | 1022.1121 | 15.3793 | 0.0148 |
|
|
| 2018 | 1219.43 | 1137.3499 | 82.0801 | 0.0673 |
|
|
| 2019 | 1336.4 | 1265.5802 | 70.8198 | 0.0530 |
|
|
| 2020 | 1297.75 | 1408.2678 | −110.5178 | 0.0852 |
|
|