| 年份 | 实际值 | 预测值 | 残差 | 相对误差 | P | S1 | S2 |
| 2011 | 538.80 | 538.8 | 0 | 0.000000 | 100% | 5995.288263 | 343.5911 |
| 2012 | 619.03 | 628.0628043 | −9.032804342 | 0.014592 |
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| 2013 | 698.90 | 686.6566288 | 12.24337121 | 0.017518 |
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| 2014 | 712.00 | 750.7168433 | −38.71684328 | 0.054378 |
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| 2015 | 829.30 | 820.7534234 | 8.546576587 | 0.010306 |
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| 2016 | 907.16 | 897.3239219 | 9.836078108 | 0.010843 |
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| 2017 | 1010.41 | 981.0379072 | 29.37209284 | 0.029069 |
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| 2018 | 1081.57 | 1072.561816 | 9.008183911 | 0.008329 |
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| 2019 | 1169.40 | 1172.624259 | −3.224259406 | 0.002757 |
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| 2020 | 1266.58 | 1282.021822 | −15.44182207 | 0.012192 |
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