年份

真实值

ARIMA (0,2,0)

相对误差(%)

年份

真实值

ARIMA(0,2,0)

相对误差(%)

1991

893.49

-

-

2005

8659.91

8596.48

0.732

1992

1096.86

-

-

2006

9843.34

9729.53

1.156

1993

1377.78

1300.23

5.629

2007

11573.97

11026.77

4.728

1994

1761.24

1658.70

5.822

2008

14535.4

13304.60

8.468

1995

2155.13

2144.70

0.484

2009

17541.92

17496.83

0.257

1996

2709.42

2549.02

5.920

2010

19980.39

20548.44

2.843

1997

3196.71

3263.71

2.096

2011

24345.91

22418.86

7.915

1998

3678.72

3684.00

0.144

2012

28119.00

28711.43

2.107

1999

4047.50

4160.73

2.798

2013

31668.95

31892.09

0.705

2000

4586.63

4416.28

3.714

2014

35312.4

35218.90

0.265

2001

5025.93

5125.76

1.986

2015

40974.64

38955.85

4.927

2002

5790.03

5465.23

5.610

2016

46344.88

46636.88

0.630

2003

6584.10

6554.13

0.455

2017

52598.28

51715.12

1.679

2004

7590.29

7378.17

2.795

-

-

-

-